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Carney sleepwalking Americanization of Canada: Fossil fuels, nuclear, vehicles, military, austerity, immigration and more

Mark Carney won the April 28, 2025, federal election, in part, because many Canadians believed he would be the best to face up to Trump.  Trump often refers to Canada as the 51st state. The irony is since then Carney has engaged in a plethora of initiatives to incrementally sleepwalk Canada towards Americanization of segments of the Canadian political energy and economic landscapes.

Bill C-5: Fast-tracking projects of “national interest”

One of Carney first legislative accomplishments was the hastily adopted Bill C-5 in June 2025, also known as the One Canadian Economy Act.  This Act gives Carney absolute power to approve almost whatever major projects he wants in the “national interest,” a very subjective terminology.

Under the umbrella of the Act, nearly all existing legislation can be ignored, and/or rendered ineffective, for major projects of “national interest.”

The primary objective of C-5 is to fast-track major projects such as very large-scale oil and gas export pipelines.  C-5 is in keeping Carney’s aim from the outset to make Canada an energy superpower, U.S. style.

Priority “national interest” projects, environment shoved aside

On September 11, 2025, Carney announced the first round of major projects on his to do list.  Indications were given that projects for the next round of approvals will occur sometime in November 2025.

Natural gas

One of the first to go major projects high on the agenda is that of a supporting the Phase 2 of the LNG Canada, the liquified natural gas (LNG) export terminal in Kitimat, British Columbia.

For the next round of announcements, the probabilities are good for a LNG terminal northern Manitoba, Churchill on the Hudson Bay.

This speaks to Carney’s fixation with “drill, baby drill” resembling Trump’s fetish and an affirmation that Canada is the sixth largest natural gas exporter in the world.

To this end, Carney discussed possible LNG exports to Germany while with Chancellor Friedrich Merz in Germany in August 2025.

This is incongruent with EU gas consumption down by 20% between 2021 and 2024; and EU LNG demand is expected to peak in 2025.  The EU clean energy goal is that of energy independence, favouring clean energy by 2027.

Likewise decarbonization is a global phenomenon.

Too, it doesn’t seem to phase Mark Carney that methane emission leaks associated with fracking natural gas, through to the LNG export destination and consumption, render LNG as bad as coal.

Methane has a global warming potential 80 times that of CO2 over a 20-year period.

The declining prices of renewables, mean infrastructure for electrical power from gas is headed for stranded assets.

Contrecour

On the first priority “national interest” list is the construction of a second Montreal port terminal at Contrecoeur.   This project has plethora of environmental degradation implications, including contravening the federal legislation, Species at Risk, the Canadian Environmental Protection Act and The Fisheries Act.  While the project was the object of environmental impact approval in 2021, many authorization requirements remain outstanding.

Oil export pipelines

High on the next phase of projects are cross Canada oil export pipelines comprising:

1) Energy East to cross over most of Canada from Alberta to an export terminal on Canada’s Atlantic coast; and

2) the Northern Gateway with a terminal on the Pacific coast.

Carney’s export pipeline contemplations seemingly don’t take into account the experiences of the Canadian government-owned Trans Mountain pipeline twinning project to the Burnaby, British Columbia Pacific coast.  This project, which has been operating under capacity at a loss.  It has cost Canadian taxpayers C$50 billion in federal subsidies so far and costs Canadians C$3 billion annually.

How fitting is it for Carney to appoint in August 2025, Dawn Farrell, the till then chair of the board of directors of Trans Mountain, to head up the new Major Projects Office.

Here again the matter of global decarbonization is ignored.  There is an existing oil and gas glut on global markets which will get worse as more new suppliers enter global markets while China, the European Union, South Korea, Japan, Southeast Asia, South Asia and other traditional oil and gas importers, are decarbonizing.

Decarbonized oil: An oxymoron

Mark Carney’s drill, baby drill thrust would have us believe that there aren’t serious emissions considerations related to his oil export pipelines because Canada would be exporting “decarbonized oil.” Decarbonized oil doesn’t exist, a Trump-like climate hoax!

Carney was alluding to the next set of announcements to include the carbon capture and storage project of the Pathways Alliance.

Not a single CCS project has met its goals regarding emission reductions, costs and timelines.

The Alliance is made up of 6 major oil sands producers for which the combined revenues were C$35 billion in 2022. Does the Pathways Alliance require government subsidization?

And the “decarbonized oil” does not consider that 75% to 80% of CO2 emissions occur during combustion.

Surely Carney has made a political decision without regard to the environment and economics.

Small modular reactors (SMRs), like Trump

Carney is emulating Trump’s fascination with nuclear energy.

In the works is a nuclear renaissance collaboration deal between the U.S and the United Kingdom.  This deal reserves a special focus on small modular reactors (SMRs).

Ontario’s proposal to build 4 SMRs at its Darlington site, are included in the first round of announcements.  SMRs are nascent, still experimental, with a track record on costs per unit of energy produced suggesting it should be a no go.

Governments, with the exception of China and Canada’s Ontario Premier Doug Ford, don’t see the case for SMRs for which the costs are five times that of an onshore wind farm or solar project to produce the same amount of energy.

A 2024 report of CSIRO, Australia’s science and research agency, found SMRs to be the most expensive option for power generation.  CSIRO predicted SMRs would cost US$382 to US$686 per megawatt hour in 2030.

Pedaling backwards on vehicle emissions, like Trump

The Canadian 2026 requirements for automakers to hit 20% of new vehicle sales to be zero emission vehicles (ZEVs) beginning 2026, was dropped in early September 2025.  This adjustment is in line with Trump’s plan for choice between electric and gas-powered vehicles, reversing 2025 vehicle emission rules to 2019 levels.

A Trump conflict with California is ongoing as California’s mandated target market share for ZEVs for 2026 is 35%, with significant incremental increases to 100% by 2035.  In 2025, around 25% of new passenger cars in the state are electric.

Carney and Trump and pedaling backwards on the transportation energy transition.  Global sales of electric vehicles in the first 7 months of 2025 were up 27% over 2024.

Canadian environmental bottom line

Not surprisingly,  the Carney administration cannot commit to meeting the Paris Agreement, according to a statement from the office of Environment Minister, Julie Dabrusin.

 Quadrupling military budget to attain 5% of GDP: Aligning with Trump’s Ministry of War

Responding to Trump’s nagging Canada for not spending enough on military capacity, Carney plans to quadruple Canadian spending on defence by 2030, beginning with an increase federal funding for military support by C$9 billion in the upcoming fiscal year 2026/2027, 2% of Canada’s GDP, as part of incrementally increasing military investments to reach 5% of Canada’s GDP by 2035.  There isn’t any scientific analysis as the why the military sector should be such a major percentage of GDP.

In keeping with the 5% of GDP objective, Carney’s urgent focus includes the purchasing of 12 submarines to patrol Canada’s three coasts.

This military impetus seems to conveniently ignore that the only potentially “dangerous aggressor” country on Canada’s borders is Russia, in Canada’s Arctic region.

However, submarines on Canada’s Atlantic and Pacific coasts may be justified should Canada be preparing for WWIII, with a Department of War.  This resembles Trump’s Department of War with its economic benefits.

Notwithstanding, Carney likes to boast of the economic opportunities, as a sovereign economic agency, associated with new defense spending.  Carney speaks of the economic possibilities for innovation and the creation of good new jobs for Canadians. This is similar to the Trump narrative.

Sure, there will be economic opportunities with any type of major fresh government spending.

Why emulate the U.S. military industrial complex when Canadian spending of huge amounts on cleantech innovation and deployment can close the gap in one of the fastest growing sectors in the world, a sector for which Canada is pitifully weak competitor?

Austerity cuts to government services, Trump “light”

To compensate for the sharp hike in the military budget, Carney will be cutting operational funding for federal services by 7% in fiscal year 2026-27, 10% in 2027-28 and 15% in 2028-29.

This dismisses that federal services are cracking across the board because of insufficient financial resources, people and operational needs, unable to accommodate demand.   Examples are manifold, ranging from inexpedient reviews of each immigrant’s status request to underfunded public transportation, to inadequate transfers of federal funds to support financially tormented provincial healthcare systems.

Targeting immigrants and border security, Trump “light”

Awaiting approval is Mark Carney’s Bill C-2, the Strong Borders Act, which allows for discretionary retrograding of an immigrant’s status and discretionary deporting of immigrants.   This appears to be an “emulation light” of Trump’s chaotic harsh treatments of immigrants.

Other Trump appeasing initiatives

Ceding to Trump’s rants, Carney annulled the implementation of the Digital Services Act, which, like similar Acts in Australia, France and others, would have imposed a 3% tax on digital services such as Netflix, Amazon, Google, Meta, Uber and Airbnb, crossing into Canada, earning revenues in Canada, without paying any taxes.  It has taken almost a decade for Canada to adopt this act in 2024, due to heavy lobbying/bullying.

To avoid rattling the beast, Trump, Canada will not apply retaliatory tariffs on Canadian exports to the U.S. that are impacted by U.S. tariffs and not protected by the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA).

Trump implemented 35% tariff on items not protected by the USMCA anyway.

The Takeaway

Mark Carney is Americanizing segments of the Canadian political landscape, but so gradually that it the cumulative results are missed by most Canadians.

Climate change has taken a back seat to Carney’s Trump-like “drill baby drill” “national interests” to favour major oil and gas projects.

Projects that defy economic and/or environmental considerations are being sanctioned, such as small modular reactors.

Hints have been offered that Canada will not comply with the Paris Agreement.

Zero emission vehicle objectives have been abandoned, emulating Trump in the process.

Canadian military spending will be quadrupled while Carney boasts of economic opportunities for doing so.  This aligns well with U.S. military-industrial complex mindset and Trump’s Department of War.

The stretched thin government services will be cut to compensate for quadrupling in the military budget.  Trump has been shown to be most enthusiastic on cuts to “wasteful” government services.

The Digital Services Act has been abandoned, though long awaited, immediately after Trump threatened more tariffs if the Act was to be implemented.

Discretionary powers to retrograde the status of many immigrants and to deport immigrants are to come, though there is no apparent need for doing so.  This may be described as a pale reflection of Trump policies on immigration.

Carney is sleepwalking the Americanization of Canada and action on climate change has been slaughtered on the altar.

Nearly all of this wasn’t laid out in Carney’s election campaign.

AI + Data centres: Slop, debt + fossil fuels

Young smiling woman portrait silhouette with AI brain hologram hud, double exposure chip with digital lines, copy space white background. Concept of artificial intelligence and technology

Intro

The prime catalyst for AI data centres growth is Trump’s fetish for such centres.

The global IT capacity of data centres under construction represented 23 gigawatts (GW) by September 2025, 75% of this capacity is in the U.S.

For 2028, the energy impact is estimated to be around 6.7% to 12% of electricity U.S. demand dedicated to data centres.

Seven companies, dominate U.S. data centres landscape, Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Tesla, Microsoft and Nvidia.

The exponential race to build U.S. data centres is

Much of content produced is slop.  The word “slop” is a recognized word in the Merriam-Webster English dictionary for “digital content of low quality that is produced usually in quantity by means of artificial intelligence.”

The bubble

Globally, 23.1 GW of capacity is under construction at 831 sites, the Americas accounting for 17.1 GW over 311 locations.  For the Asia Pacific region, it’s 3.2 GW over 283 sites and Europe Middle East and Africa, 2.8 GW across 258 sites.

Private equity and subsidized debt financing are the pillars for continuous growth of U.S. data centres.

In the U.S., nearly 100% of AI investments in data centres comes from subsidized private equity and debt financing.  These centres have yet to prove they are profitable. This model can only work if there is infinite growth.  The vast amounts of debt incurred for data centres has created an inflated bubble which would burst if the growth stopped.

Large global banks and Wall Street are concerned about the speculative nature of these investments.

As well, since chips and servers evolve, there is built in planned obsolescence.

In 2025, in Pennsylvania alone, the Trump administration and the state have announced $100 billion in investments to accomodate data centres.  This includes $1 billion for the restart of Three Mile Island nuclear facilities, left idle for 3 decades,  to supply Microsoft and other data centres in the state.  Another $20 billion was committed from Amazon, Google, Westinghouse, Meta and others.

Slop: Poor quality AI answers

Only half of AI pattern produced packaged answers are credible.  For the rest, AI invents wrong answers and/or uses dated content when it has no idea of the right answers.

Israel’s Lavender and Gospel projects used predefined autonomous data matching sets and sensor information from all sorts of systems, eg cell phone data and social media, to target “potential” Hamas combatants.  These algorithms are prone to getting it wrong, but Israel’s military forces applied it for the machines to learn to make decisions, nothing to do with human intelligence and integrity. This intelligence was responsible for Gaza genocide 72,551 deaths and 39,000 children being orphaned, losing, and/or separated from, one or both parents.

The backbone for the pattern matching is the product of slave-like workers reviewing thousands of data sets in poor countries.  For this work, the average pay is $2/hour.

Social economic impacts

Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella argues that the AI data centres will contribute to major productivity gains which will deliver economic growth  Hence, data centre sector will expand indefinitely.

But 95% of surveyed businesses using AI claim AI makes no difference on returns.  AI benefits have primarily been applied to sales and marketing pilots.

Most of the jobs that come with new data centres pertain to the construction of the humongous sites.  But once constructed, there are not many jobs, apart from maintenance and operation.

Also, typically, a data centre consumes 1.14 million litres of water/day for cooling purposes, but large data centres can consume up to 19 million litres of water/day.  Collectively, data centres in the U.S. will consume 13.8 million litres of water by 2028, equivalent to the needs of 360,000 households

Two-thirds of the U.S. data centres to-date are in water-stressed states, among them Arizona, Texas, Nevada, and the Colorado River Basin.

Decision-making on U.S. data centre projects usually bypass local governments, leaving it to regional and national governments.  The hasty pace for approvals by the companies concerned entails risks, environmental degradation coupled with a lack of time for defining new regulations.

If the local utility energy must expand its infrastructure quickly, the result is either higher utility rates or fossil fuel alternatives.

The centres are often planned for rural communities, because of the amount of land required for these centres.  This often results in a total rupture of the way of life of inhabitants of such regions. Taking precedence is Trump’s AI fetish belief that state legislatures cannot sideline AI projects.

For example, Digital 1/PAX-1 is one rural data centre data centre planned for Pennsylvania, which will cover nearly 300 hectares – the size of 80 American football fields.

This project involves a $15 billion investment that would supposedly create 450 jobs and generate $65 billion in tax revenues.

A grassroots Pennsylvania organization, Protect PT, struggles to rally opposition to these investments.

Meta’s $7 billion data centre in Michigan, Saline Township, near Ann Arbour, was rejected by local authorities.  This was taken to court which reversed the Township rejection.

The small town of Archibald, Pennsylvania, population 5,400, is the location envisioned for 5 data centres requiring 1.2 million square metres (13.4 million square feet).

Similarly, Project Sail, comprises a planned 900 MW  data centre of 336 hectares (830 acres) centre in Georgia, equivalent to 600 football fields, in Newnan, 56 km (35 miles) just south of Atlanta.

Another Georgia project, the Coweta County Council endorsed rezoning for Project Peach a large-scale data center being developed by Dallas-based CyrusOne in the town of Palmetto, about 24 km (15 miles) northeast of the Project Sail site.

For both of these Georgia projects, the Trump administration exercised pressure to fast-track the projects, even offering public-private partnerships.

Citizen resistance in other countries include the Chile, MOSACAT  (Community Movement for Water and Land)) engaged in a legal battle since 2019 to stop a proposed construction of a hyperscale Google data centre in Cerillos, outside Santiago. After years of protests and organizing spearheaded by MOSACAT’s Tania Rodriguéz, in February 2024, a local court halted the project, demanding that Google revise its plans so that they take into account the intense water consumption and Chile’s significant droughts.

In Ireland, deregulation and fossil fuel development to accommodate these centres are making a comeback.

Not surprisingly, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella is somewhat concerned about a public backlash.

Clean energy

At first, the big players favoured clean energy options.

On a world scale, large data centres accounted for half of 2025 power purchase agreement (PPA) capacity.

In the Americas, large data centres represented 72% of clean energy procurement in 2025.  This often requires increasing the power capacity of existing infrastructure for generation and grid.  Many a time, the consequences are an increase in electricity rates and delays for closing coal plants for all in the area concerned.

For the Asia-Pacific region, data centres accounted for one-third of PPA capacity, while in the European, Middle East, African nations, the PPA power procured was one-eighth of capacity.

The exponential burst of U.S. construction projects for quick AI data centres has engendered a race to grab as much energy they can get to come on board quickly.

Installing renewable energy projects cannot keep up with the exceptional speed of data centre projects mushrooming across the U.S.

Since data centres operate 24/7, it is a challenge to have renewables meet the tasks, without cutting capacity for businesses and residential clients.

For Project Sail, Georgia Power announced a $16 billion expansion of 10 GW to its power capacity by 2030, two-thirds of its current capacity. The Trump administration will provide $26 billion loan to Southern Company, the parent firm of Georgia Power.

Georgia Power has tripled its decade long projection for power demand from 12 GW in 2025 to 36.5 GW.  Data centres are the source of 95% of increased demand.

Yet right now, data centres on average consume a minor share of a utility’s power, but it may reach 50% in 10 years.

Some data centres rely on their own centre-specific production of renewable energy

Google has invested in clean energy, more than private and public entities elsewhere in the world, to render some of its data centres self-sufficient.  Google has signed PPAs for wind and solar, co-locating renewables to connect with its data centres and spent $3 billion on rehabilitating aging hydroelectric dams in Pennsylvania.

Google will bring 2 GW of clean energy online in 2027-28.  This preempts utilities raising electricity rates to invest in infrastructure to accommodate data centres.

Google restarted a nuclear plant in Iowa under the umbrella of a 25-year PPA.

The Switch data centre south of the Las Vegas strip operates 100% with renewables, incredible for a centre that covers one square kilometre (mile).  It has a 1 GW solar field and is building more solar fields.

Nevada’s NV Energy requires that data centres fund their own energy needs but has no parameters for renewables.

Fossil fuels

The hic is such that regardless of well-intentioned environmental considerations, the sweltering momentum to build data centres ASAP, has got data centre giants focused on any source of energy to put energy supplies online quickly.

This is where fossil fuels come in.  Over half of the U.S. extraordinary demand will be accommodated by fossil fuels.  By 2035, these data centres will consume 106 GW of power, which is greater than the current installed capacity of hydro and nuclear in the U.S.

If present trends continue, U.S. emissions from generating so much electricity sourced with fossil fuels, that by 2028, the emissions would be equivalent to 10 million vehicles.

One of Trump’s favourite solutions includes the prolonging of the lifecycle of coal plants.

Though Google began with data centres with energy stemming from renewables, the company has mellowed their clean energy goals.

Google’s explanation on new emphasis on fossil fuels is that it is no longer “maintaining operational carbon neutrality”.

Google contracted for 2 methane-fired thermal generating plants. — one in Illinois and one in Nebraska — that would use carbon capture technology – a greenwashing solution.

Google has plans for an Armstrong Texas data centre campus which would be powered by a 933 MW methane thermal generating plant that will emit 4.5 million tonnes of CO2/year. That’s more than the 4 million tonnes emitted by San Francisco per year.

Meta, Amazon and Microsoft have plans for methane thermal power plants for their AI data centres.

Microsoft has entered an agreement with Chevron for a 2.5 GW gas power plant in Texas and another gas facility is planned for a West Virginia data centre.

Musk’s Colossus data centre in Memphis Tennessee is supplied by dozens of methane portable generators because Musk doesn’t have the time to wait for the local utility to meet his needs. Musk is seeking additional debt financing for Colossus 2 nearby, with energy furnished from a former gas plant.

ExxonMobil CEO Darren Woods assures that we need not worry about emissions because 90% of emissions can be captured and abated.

NextEra, serving a dozen states, concluded it cannot meet its net-zero goals for 2045.

NextEra explained that a carbon abated gas power plant at one data centre site in Southeast U.S. will be connected to Exxon’s CO2 pipeline network that encompasses Texas, Louisiana, and Mississippi.  Exxon would get a credit for this technology of $85/ton for any carbon captured.

Never mind that CCS NEVER meets goals for emission reductions, costs, and timelines.

Nevada had a goal of 50% clean energy capacity by 2030.  But the state cannot meet the power demands of planned data centres, triple the power consumed by Las Vegas, without turning towards fossil fuels.

For J.P. Morgan Asset Management strategist, Stephanie Aliaga, a few million tonnes of emissions would not stand in the way of AI’s major contributions to economic growth.

With the upcoming intensification of energy demand from data centres, North Carolina plans new gas plants and prolonging the “best before expiry” date of coal plants.

Orders for U.S. new gas plants are backlogged.

Mark Carney eyeing AI opportunities for gas exports

Mark Carney’s current Canadian government views America’s mounting needs for AI data centres as an opportunity and thus invited the U.S. to import more Canadian gas.  This is consistent with Carney’s “national interest” initiatives, exempt from existing legislation, favouring abandonment of Canada’s climate objectives, all with an emphasis on oil and gas, at the expense of action on climate change.

Also consistent, the Carney administration repealed the Clean Energy Regulation to open the door to the major Alberta gas company, Capital Power, for its intentions to build and supply a large AI centre in the province.  This is in addition to the Alberta government exempting a 7.5 GW data centre from an environmental evaluation.

With a similar perspective, the Canadian province of Saskatchewan welcomed data centre with a gas facility energy source just south of Regina.

The takeaway

Increased emissions, higher electricity rates, threatened water supplies, job losses to automation, overload of misinformation and/or the rupture of the small-town life are but some of the challenges posed by AI data centre proposals.

The U.S. accounts for 75% of global data centre capacity.  U.S. leadership stems largely from subsidized private debt for financing. The outstanding issue may be when, not if, the bubble will burst.

The majority of businesses are not significantly benefiting from AI in terms of productivity.

There is much AI slop,

AI is beneficial when there is credible training for machine learning.

But there aren’t any constraints on improper training, emissions and environmental degradation at-large.

The speed of development is primarily self-serving antisocial and/or out-of-control parameters which create albatrosses.  Accordingly, there are many AI systems capable of lying or misinforming while being whopping new sources of fossil fuel emissions.

Can governments regulate this?

China: Largest emitter to green gamechanger, but…

China climate emergency global influence

China is several years ahead of other developed countries on the migration to a green economy, in clean technology production capacity, massive market penetration and green investments. China already has an extraordinary global green export potential. China leads in renewables, electric vehicles and battery production, incrementally regulating plastic solutions, high-speed rail, private clean tech investment, government environmental support and green bonds.  China’s concurrent climate actions are gamechangers destined to have huge global competition impacts on energy, economic, transportation, industrial and other paradigms, perhaps more so than the climate crisis.  But there are simultaneous contradictions. China is the world’s largest liquified natural gas importer, once again ramping up coal production and certainly not a leader on human rights.

Fossil fuel methane climate emergency: Solutions

Methane emissions underestimated

Methane emissions are underrated at one third of global warming gases, largely because fossil fuel sector methane emissions are underestimated by 70 percent.  Current data indicates the energy sector accounts for 40 percent of man-made methane.  Consequently, the COP26 non-binding pledges of over 100 nations for a 30 percent reduction by 2030 are not only dreadfully inadequate, but also, without standardized measuring, reporting and verification standards, oil and gas industry methane greenwashing is rampant.  The draft European Union (EU) plan to reduce methane emissions up to 80 percent by 2030 zeros in on methane accountability norms and establishes transparent extraterritorial requirements to cover imports.  The U.S. too, with the backing of the Inflation Reduction Act and the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, now has the foundation for vigorous proposal to update its regulations and investments in methane reduction.  Sadly, Canada’s methane ambitions procrastinate and are fuzzy.  Lastly, stringent government actions would be less critical if the oil and gas industry applied existing technologies to capture fossil fuel methane and sell it for a net profit.

Renewables, not gas, for Southeast Asia: Vietnam

Rooftop solar surge

The global natural gas industry, including that of Canada, has high hopes for weaning Southeast Asia from coal dependency.  Concurrently, low-cost renewables are swiftly changing the electrical power landscape in this part of the world.  Vietnam, caught in the squeeze between the two competing types of power sources, is favouring a clean energy metamorphosis.  The country now has the greatest installed solar energy capacity in Southeast Asia.  Government policies are both supportive and handicaps.  Grid infrastructure is woefully insufficient.  International support is critical to solidify the transition to clean energy.

Investing responsibly, in the Canadian green economy, not easy: Policy solutions

Canada compares poorly in buttressing clean tech firms.

Reliable standards for environmentally sound investments do not exist and very few Canadian clean tech firms are listed on a stock exchange.  Too often, Canadian clean tech firms must go outside Canada for financial support and/or to enter the stock market.  This article presents solutions for investors and clean tech companies alike, but these solutions require government action. 

Green economy: Financial sector zigzags

Green financing improves but has a long way to go

BlackRock, the world’s largest investment firm, has indicated that those that don’t tackle climate change will lose money in 5 years. Some financial institutions have made multi-trillion commitments from now to 2030 to invest in the green economy while still focusing the majority of investments in fossil fuels. Canadian banks are among the global top fossil fuel investors.

Fossil fuel sector contrasts: Green transition engaged, but not enough

Not all fossil fuel companies the same

Not all Big Oil firms are alike. Some are engaged in a rapid green migration, many are sitting on the fence and others are still in climate denial. Meanwhile, the value of fossil fuel assets are declining but the industry is camouflaging this by selling assets and debt financing to keep shareholders happy.

Trudeau’s climate greenwashing mayhem

Justin Trudeau announced another of his Liberal government’s green plans in December. I have lost track of how many green plans we have had, but not a single one has met its targets. With the prime minister set to officially meet with the new U.S. president Tuesday, the Liberals’ environmental agenda looks embarrassingly unambitious by comparison.

Raising the price of carbon is one of the pillars of the government’s latest plan to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. But there are no magic bullets and piecemeal measures don’t work.

The new U.S. administration has announced plans for an international climate conference led by President Biden on April 22, which is Earth Day.

In other regions that have carbon pricing mechanisms, such as the European Union and China (with its pilot schemes), climate change abatement plans consist of many complementary measures, including stringent legislation.

Why coal can’t make America great again

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Among the ways Donald Trump vows to “make America great again” is reviving the US coal industry. That’s a stretch considering the plight coal faces today in the US. 

The combined value of the top four US coal companies fell from $33 billion in 2011 to $150 million in 2015. Coal’s declining role in the US power supply saw it go from 50% in 2006 to 42% in 2011, to 30% in 2016. US coal production dropped 19% in 2016 alone. In 2015, between 11 gigawatts (GW) and 14 GW of US coal capacity went off line.

As Big Oil tanks, why is Canada so slow to adapt?

The business model of Big Oil has already started to collapse.  The model is premised on strong growth to fuel high prices and render economically viable the exploitation of expensive-to-develop, non-conventional fossil fuels, including the tar sands and shale oil and gas.

Note to Justin: Pipelines don’t help transition to green economy

When Justin Trudeau talks of oil pipeline projects as part of an energy transition, what exactly is he talking about?

That we will be on the path to reducing our dependency on fossil fuels by increasing our oil dependency in the short term? And that by immaculate conception we will reduce these very same dependencies over the long term? Supposedly, we will switch to a green economy sometime between now and when we are all dead, with the help of Adam Smith’s “invisible hand”.

Despite Trump & Trudeau’s pipeline fetish, green economy will keep booming

US President-Elect Trump (Flickr/Gage Skidmore) and Canadian PM Trudeau (Flickr/Canada 2020) are both big on pipelines

Forces at play suggest there will continue to be significant advancements in the global migration to a green economy.  Trudeau and Trump are rowing against the current.

Electric Vehicles are set to take off…so why is Trudeau still pushing pipelines?

Tesla Model 3 at March 2016 unveiling (Steve Jurvetson/Flickr)

In my previous March 2016 article “Pipelines to Nowhere“, I made the point that the proposed Canadian pipelines are about increasing the international supply of petroleum when all the signs are that demand fossil fuels are levelling off over the longer term.

Trudeau abandons green election promises, lacks real climate plan

Justin Trudeau talking a good game at the Global Progress summit (Canada 2020/Flickr)

“Not everything that can be counted counts, and not everything that counts can be counted.” -Albert Einstein

With the recent National Energy Board approval of the Kinder Morgan pipeline and Justin Trudeau’s enthusiastic post-election remarks to the effect that Canada can build pipelines and address climate change concurrently, it is time to take stock of just where the current government is heading us. 

China’s war on coal means lots more renewable energy…and fracking

Shale gas is a big component of China’s future energy plans

China has declared war on coal and coal consumption is down as a result. But this coal war offers some good news, some not so good news for Canada, and some bad news, all at the same time.

Green jobs see huge growth globally: Why is Canada missing out?

There are those like Stephen Harper who repeatedly say we must choose between economic development and sustainable development.

And there are those who, concerned about the environment and the latest reports from the International Panel on Climate Change, suggest that economic development and sustainable development should be reconciled.  Countries such as Germany are often cited as cases in point.  Most environmental organizations fall into this latter reconciliation category.

Europe leads the way on building a green economy

The European Union has fast become the global leader on migrating to a green economy, with its Emissions Trading System (cap and trade scheme) in place since 2005. Canada has much to learn from the current and future EU debates on establishing new targets for 2030 – particularly how to fast-forward its badly lagging green economy following the next federal election in 2015.

Germany shows a thriving green economy is possible

When Prime Minister Harper is challenged on his environmental record, one of his standard replies is that between economic development and sustainable development, he must give priority to the economy. While it suits Harper’s ideological agenda to imply that economic and environmental objectives are opposing forces, the facts suggest otherwise.

China’s chaotic leap forward to a green economy

When most people talk of China and its environmental and energy challenges, they tend to paint a very bleak picture.  While this view is historically justified, things are changing fast in today’s China.

Criticism of China’s environmental record has been traditionally well-justified. After all, China:  1) displaced the US as the world’s largest energy consumer as of 2009 – doubling its energy consumption between 2000 and 2009; 2) produces the world’s  highest pollution levels, with 16 of the top 20 most-polluted cities in the world being in China; and 3) now has total annual vehicle sales higher than that of the US.